12 Comments

These are gross exaggerations not of the extent of China's ecological problems, but of their implications for centralized authoritarian rule. China fundamentally cannot solve its environmental crisis because its central leadership lacks the actual presence on the ground in local and provincial communities to execute national directives. When a clash occurs between local economic development targets and central environmental ones, the former almost always wins. The situation has only gradually improved in the second half of Xi's decade long tenure to date, but this is more the natural consequence of growing incomes and evolving individual consumer lifestyles. The CCP Central Committee sets environmental directives in the full knowledge that most local and provincial party administrations will fail to meet them - because it knows that shifting priority from GDP growth to ecological preservation is an all-of-society cultural change that takes decades to realize. In the meantime, paradoxically, better environmental protection requires more centralized dictatorship, not less: in practice it means taking authority away from local Party magnates and oligarchs who were installed to meet economic development targets that still haven't been revoked, but which increasingly must be balanced with social and environmental needs. The net result being: if you're looking for Xi Jinping (or whichever central authoritarian figure) to be weakened by environmental degradation, you'll be sorely disappointed. It's just the opposite: the degradation is evidence that they didn't have much effective centralized bureaucratic power to begin with - or even if they did, deliberately turned a blind eye to local abuses because they quietly understood why it was happening (i.e. why it was necessary). If and when the environment is actually taken seriously for a change, it would be an increase in actual authority of the Central Committee Politburo and its paramount Standing Committee - not a decrease. China simply works exactly the opposite to Western intuition on individual rights: the choice is not between individual rights and all-powerful dictatorship, but between local autocrats and central ones.

Expand full comment

Two things stand out here. 

The inability of centrally planned(or in 'escobarian esperanto oxymoronism') - - centrally planned 'market-directed!)societies to address matters of fundamental importance/

The complete adherence of supposedly "wisdom of the east" - inheritor/promulagor CCP to 'made in the west' ideological systems - Marxian/freemasonic madness in this case. Complete FAILURE to apply any "wisdom of the east" anywhere has resulted in the mess described herein. 

When F.H. King wrote his famous tome - FARMERS OF FORTY CENTURIES, he laid down the gospel of soil management which the 'east' had successfully followed to keep it's populace fed and healthy for aeons. It was ignored, of course, in the west, and them chickens will be home to roost mighty soon - as the wheels finally fall off of the 'ammonium nitrate' culture wheich was used instead... and the good times end with a bang! 

In Sinoville, the substitution of 'western scientific' agriculture for 'home-grown' solutions will be even more dramatic. They will literally drown in their own poop. King described the longstanding practice of processing human waste back into valuable top dressing for soils which had no 'livestock' fertilizer component such as Europe enjoyed. It was a safe and viable system - and used in conjunction with traditional Chinese medicine, kept folks healthy n whole. 

All gone. TCM is almost forgotten in it's homeland -where antibiotics now add to the breakdown caused by mod/ag. 

"The customs and practices of these Farthest East people regarding their manufacture of fertilizers in the form of earth composts for their fields, and their use of altered subsoils which have served in their kangs, village walls and dwellings, are all instances where they profoundly shorten the time required in the field to affect the necessary chemical, physical and biological reactions which produce from them plant food substances. Not only do they thus increase their time assets, but they add, in effect, to their land area by producing these changes outside their fields, at the same time giving their crops the immediately active soil products." KING - FFC 

Everywhere you go in this tired ol (modern)world - subgenius at work!

Expand full comment

It would be no surprise to see great powers try to invade and claim regions near the north and south poles if the global water table becomes hopelessly contaminated. Rather than cleaning up the contaminated ecology, people would rather go somewhere pristine to ruin. At least until the first viable space colony, after which everyone will be running over each other to leave this planet (either that or we nuke ourselves).

Expand full comment

This is excellent. Keep going.

Expand full comment

China has been meeting challenges like these for 4,000 years and is flourishing today as never before.

Critics like you have been predicting modern China's doom daily since 1949. Every one of them has proven to be wrong.

A sample:

1990. China's economy has come to a halt. The Economist

1996. China's economy will face a hard landing. The Economist

1998. China's economy’s dangerous period of sluggish growth. The Economist

1999. Likelihood of a hard landing for the Chinese economy. Bank of Canada

2000. China currency move nails hard landing risk coffin. Chicago Tribune

2001. A hard landing in China. Wilbanks, Smith & Thomas

2002. China Seeks a Soft Economic Landing. Westchester University

2003. Banking crisis imperils China. New York Times

2004. The great fall of China? The Economist

2005. The Risk of a Hard Landing in China. Nouriel Roubini

2006. Can China Achieve a Soft Landing? International Economy

2007. Can China avoid a hard landing? TIME

2008. Hard Landing In China? Forbes

2009. China's hard landing. China must find a way to recover. Fortune

2010: Hard landing coming in China. Nouriel Roubini

2011: Chinese Hard Landing Closer Than You Think. Business Insider

2012: Economic News from China: Hard Landing. American Interest 

2013: A Hard Landing In China. Zero Hedge 

2014. A hard landing in China. CNBC

2015. Congratulations, You Got Yourself A Chinese Hard Landing. Forbes 

2016. Hard landing looms for China. The Economist

2017. Is China's Economy Going To Crash? National Interest

2018. China's Coming Financial Meltdown. The Daily Reckoning.

2019 China's Economic Slowdown: How worried should we be? BBC2020. Coronavirus Could End China's Decades-Long Economic Growth Streak. NY Times

2021 Chinese economy risks deeper slowdown than markets realize. Bloomberg

2022. The China cushion has deflated FT/Stephen Roach

Expand full comment

I'm shocked and ASHAMED so few have read this article! It can only mean that it's being suppressed so money stays in china to keep the fat fed! ⚡⚡⚡⚡ DAMN the sleepers🌋

Expand full comment

More Doom & Gloom on China; does one think they've been unaware of this? (for decades?) To wit: http://en.nantong.gov.cn/2019-06/14/c_382547.htm

Expand full comment

OMG, this is torture. Useful information stuck in a matrix of hopelessly flawed syntax and corporate newspeak going forward.

Expand full comment

I've never read anything so...piercing on China. My son was in Shanghai a few years ago & told me I wouldn't be able to breathe there. His photos told the tale. It was so polluted the sun wasn't able to...pierce the smog clouds.

Expand full comment

Very enlightening, thanks. Will be waiting for part 3 in earnest.

Expand full comment

Wow, eye-opening. And well written! Nice work!

Expand full comment